Perilous Iranian political-chess expertise! - Instablogs
Perilous Iranian political-chess expertise!
Pankaj , Shimla: Apr 7 2007
Made Popular Apr 7 2007

Perilous Iranian political-chess expertise!

After two weeks of hostage crisis fifteen sailors are back in British guard, celebrating the incident as a victory and quickly rejecting the ‘confessions’ as coerced that they falsely entered Iranian waters. However, the dispute from the Iranian challenge over the captives is clear that it was a ‘propaganda’ and ‘a show.’

The entire sailor affair once again brought into light the Iranian trademark to deal with the things: first, provoke an incident. Secondly, bluster it out to the maximum extent. Thirdly, create a good deal of concern, and finally, resolve it peacefully.

The Iranians have long been playing this cat and mouse game with the U.S. and British Navy in those waters and it’s not an accident that they chose to take captives now. However, Iran did not gain anything out of this recent move that was particularly aimed to hasten the release of the Iranian officials being kidnapped by US in Iraq.

This sudden release of the captives do not show the magnanimous act of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad rather it shows that Iranian regime do not lack any move in its political chess expertise to get out of any precarious situation. This move was precision guided to strongly make the world realize that it’s better to turn to the diplomatic tables while tackling the big issue - Tehran’s nuclear program. The recent UN sanctions imposed on Iran is nothing but hog wash keeping in mind the fact that these sanctions have never worked to culminate any nuclear program.

However, successful resolution of the hostage affair illustrates that there is potential room for improvements while dealing the hard-liners inside the Iranian regime. This event has also been profitable as it demonstrates that there have been well-known rifts within Iran’s foreign policy establishment between hard-liners and pragmatists. The release of the sailors reveal that pragmatic officials are more concerned about Iran’s growing isolation and are also are getting the upper hand in the political split inside Iran.

But the big question is still in the air that what does this release say about the prospects of tensions between Iran and the West?

This question might remain in the air but it needs to be addressed that the heightened tensions between Iran and the west is the byproduct of Bush administration’s confrontational policies. And so much to the warmonger’s dismay that the peaceful finish to the hostage drama dashed their hopes of leveraging another crisis into the war. It is clear that Washington and London have reached the end of the rope and there is no way that Iran is going to give US any opportunity to drop any bomb on its so-called illegitimate nuclear facilities.

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0 Stars
This precision guided move is part of Iran’s counter-strike against any attempt to destabilize the regime. Its behavior in this matter indicates that there is no room for miscalculations while dealing this ‘axis of evil.’ The peaceful conclusion to the Iran hostage drama also suggests that the US and UK could achieve more with diplomacy than with threats of force and they should proceed only in this direction.
0 Stars
Pooja
Shimla, India
It’s good to hear that the captives have been released. I too agree with you Pankaj that it was a kinda propaganda, nothing else. After all, Iran is aware of the fact that it cannot survive in isolation.
2 Stars
Kuhika
Delhi, India
I want to add a very important detail to this well written article. I agree with you on everything you have so succinctly put- Iran in this recent ”Hostage crisis” was diplomacy personified. And while the short term goal might have been release of Iranians being held on the Iraqi soil, I believe Iran had a bigger motive behind the Easter present it gave to England. What tehran has managed to do through this act of kindness is very subtle yet very far reaching in my belief. It has successfully sworn in the entire British population, if not the Americans, into believing in its kind motives to such an extent that Blair would now find it almost impossible to gain his people’s approval to attack Iran, if needed. Rumours of a US attack, probably supported by the UK have been going on for a while now, but this act has downplayed all those debates. It is now that Tehran has proven as you said, that there is a peaceful way of resolving issues, and this gives Washington no room to manouver any attack against Iran. This in my opinion is highly significant, and is the long term goal Iran was aiming for, achieving it hands down. Tehran well knows it cannot handle a military attack right now, and it has averted the attack with the utmost dignity. The ball is in the west’s court now!
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